Narrative: Global Handset, Smartphone, and Feature Phone Sales Forecast for 88 Countries, September 2025

View the updated smartphone sales forecast with 2025–2027 growth, 2028–2030 declines, and key market and policy factors.

TechInsights has slightly revised the global smartphone sales forecast upward for 2025 through 2027, supported by easing tariff and trade war concerns and recovery signals in selective emerging markets. However, the forecast for 2028 through 2030 has been revised downward, particularly for India, due to a slowing growth curve and uncertainty regarding Reliance Jio’s timeline for low-cost 5G smartphones and the tariff impacts. Meanwhile, President Trump’s second term ensures ongoing policy uncertainty and volatility through 2028. Additionally, the rising demand for second-hand and refurbished smartphones will continue to cannibalize sales of brand-new devices.